Christian Watson

WRGBBye 11

WR28Maniacs rank, #56 overall
55.1ADP, pick 5.07
19.3'26 PPG, 5 games
4 of 5'26 spike weeks
11.5'25 PPG, WR42 finish
7.5%of Underdog teams

Stat Maniac

Through Week 5 of 2026, Christian Watson is averaging 19.3 half-PPR points per game on 12.9 xFP (90th percentile among WRs), 6.3 points per game above expectation, a pace that usually cools. Watson has played 79% of offensive snaps (72nd percentile) with +0.51 EPA per target (69th percentile). The closest statistical comp since 2012 is A.J. Brown's 2022 season (93% match): WR4 that year, then WR5 the next.

2026 season, through Week 5, 5 games, WR2 in total points. Percentiles against the top 96 WRs by points with 4+ games.

  1. Core
  2. Points per game9819.3
  3. xFP per game9012.9
  4. EPA per target690.51
  5. Scoring
  6. Spike-week rate9780%
  7. Ceiling week9629.5
  8. Floor week9512.1
  9. Opportunity
  10. Snap share7279%
  11. Target share7822.7%
  12. Air-yards share7231.4%
  13. aDOT6212.7
  14. xTD per game970.67
  15. Efficiency
  16. Points over expected97+6.3
  17. 20+ yard catch rate8920.0%

Closest seasons since 2012

  1. 93%2022 A.J. Brown: WR4 that season (15.3 PPG), WR5 the next year (14.8 PPG).
  2. 92%2025 George Pickens: WR4 that season (15.3 PPG), no qualifying season the next year.
  3. 91%2012 Demaryius Thomas: WR5 that season (15.4 PPG), WR1 the next year (17.1 PPG).

PoorAverageElite Half PPR, Weeks 1-17. Comps match percentile profiles across 2012-2025 at the position. xFP is expected points on the same touches; how it works.

Season lines

Half PPR, Weeks 1-17
SeasonGTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsPPGSpike wksFinish
2025105535611620.3%0.55114.911.54WR42
202654026474622.7%0.5696.419.34WR2
2026Maniacs proj-------225.413.3--

A spike week is a top-24 WR finish that week, the weeks that win best ball. Finish is the season rank by half-PPR points among all WRs.

Game log

Full color = top-24 week

2026 season

Week 1 vs MIN: 29.7 pts, WR21Week 2 vs NYJ: 12.1 pts, WR182Week 3 vs ATL: 19.1 pts, WR63Week 4 vs TB: 6.2 pts, WR554Week 5 vs CHI: 29.3 pts, WR15Week 6: no game6Week 7: no game7Week 8: no game8Week 9: no game9Week 10: no game10Week 11: no game11Week 12: no game12Week 13: no game13Week 14: no game14Week 15: no game15Week 16: no game16Week 17: no game17
WkOppTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsFinish
1MIN86147220.0%0.4929.7WR2
2NYJ11441137.9%0.8512.1WR18
3ATL10796119.6%0.4619.1WR6
4TB3347010.0%0.226.2WR55
5CHI86143225.8%0.7829.3WR1
2025 game log (10 games)Week 1: no game1Week 2: no game2Week 3: no game3Week 4: no game4Week 5: no game5Week 6: no game6Week 7: no game7Week 8 vs PIT: 10.5 pts, WR308Week 9 vs CAR: 6.8 pts, WR489Week 10 vs PHI: 5.5 pts, WR4610Week 11 vs NYG: 18.6 pts, WR511Week 12 vs MIN: 7.4 pts, WR3612Week 13 vs DET: 16.3 pts, WR1213Week 14 vs CHI: 22.9 pts, WR514Week 15 vs DEN: 4.4 pts, WR6715Week 16 vs CHI: 2.7 pts, WR8616Week 17 vs BAL: 19.8 pts, WR517
WkOppTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsFinish
8PIT4485011.4%0.4310.5WR30
9CAR4258011.4%0.416.8WR48
10PHI4245012.1%0.475.5WR46
11NYG5446220.0%0.4818.6WR5
12MIN7549033.3%0.847.4WR36
13DET10480134.5%0.9016.3WR12
14CHI4489217.4%0.3622.9WR5
15DEN5329013.9%0.414.4WR67
16CHI6217025.0%0.592.7WR86
17BAL65113124.0%0.5819.8WR5