Trevor Lawrence

QBJAXBye 7

QB10Maniacs rank, #91 overall
89.8ADP, pick 8.06
18.0'26 PPG, 5 games
3 of 5'26 spike weeks
20.4'25 PPG, QB4 finish
7.5%of Underdog teams

Stat Maniac

Through Week 5 of 2026, Trevor Lawrence is averaging 18.0 half-PPR points per game on 17.1 xFP (45th percentile among QBs), right in line with expectation. Lawrence is posting +0.27 EPA per dropback (84th percentile) and a CPOE of +6.1 (91st). The closest statistical comp since 2012 is Philip Rivers' 2014 season (91% match): QB10 that year, then QB12 the next.

2026 season, through Week 5, 5 games, QB12 in total points. Percentiles against the top 36 QBs by points with 4+ games.

  1. Core
  2. Points per game5418.0
  3. xFP per game4517.1
  4. EPA per dropback840.27
  5. Scoring
  6. Spike-week rate7760%
  7. Ceiling week5524.8
  8. Floor week4513.1
  9. Opportunity
  10. Rush yards per game5011.8
  11. Rush xTD per game160.03
  12. aDOT507.9
  13. Efficiency
  14. Points over expected66+0.9
  15. CPOE916.1

Closest seasons since 2012

  1. 91%2014 Philip Rivers: QB10 that season (17.7 PPG), QB12 the next year (18.6 PPG).
  2. 87%2019 Kirk Cousins: QB18 that season (16.7 PPG), QB11 the next year (20.0 PPG).
  3. 86%2020 Kirk Cousins: QB11 that season (20.0 PPG), QB11 the next year (19.0 PPG).

PoorAverageElite Half PPR, Weeks 1-17. Comps match percentile profiles across 2012-2025 at the position. xFP is expected points on the same touches; how it works.

Season lines

Half PPR, Weeks 1-17
SeasonGCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsPPGSpike wksFinish
202516319-530375226123489326.920.49QB4
2026596-143117410359089.918.03QB12
2026Maniacs proj-------315.018.5--

A spike week is a top-12 QB finish that week, the weeks that win best ball. Finish is the season rank by half-PPR points among all QBs.

Game log

Full color = top-12 week

2026 season

Week 1 vs CLE: 26.1 pts, QB51Week 2 vs DEN: 7.2 pts, QB292Week 3 vs NE: 20.8 pts, QB123Week 4 vs CIN: 13.1 pts, QB234Week 5 vs PHI: 22.7 pts, QB115Week 6: no game6Week 7: no game7Week 8: no game8Week 9: no game9Week 10: no game10Week 11: no game11Week 12: no game12Week 13: no game13Week 14: no game14Week 15: no game15Week 16: no game16Week 17: no game17
WkOppCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsFinish
1CLE18-23245403026.1QB5
2DEN17-2918901607.2QB29
3NE19-291823125020.8QB12
4CIN18-23227100013.1QB23
5PHI24-393312125022.7QB11
2025 game log (16 games)Week 1 vs CAR: 11.3 pts, QB231Week 2 vs CIN: 21.2 pts, QB112Week 3 vs HOU: 8.8 pts, QB283Week 4 vs SF: 11.7 pts, QB284Week 5 vs KC: 27.2 pts, QB55Week 6 vs SEA: 19.2 pts, QB136Week 7 vs LA: 17.6 pts, QB147Week 8: no game8Week 9 vs LV: 22.2 pts, QB129Week 10 vs HOU: 10.8 pts, QB2110Week 11 vs LAC: 16.0 pts, QB1111Week 12 vs ARI: 20.1 pts, QB712Week 13 vs TEN: 21.7 pts, QB513Week 14 vs IND: 19.4 pts, QB1314Week 15 vs NYJ: 44.3 pts, QB115Week 16 vs DEN: 31.2 pts, QB216Week 17 vs IND: 24.1 pts, QB517
WkOppCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsFinish
1CAR19-311781112011.3QB23
2CIN24-42271324021.2QB11
3HOU20-4022201908.8QB28
4SF21-31174107011.7QB28
5KC18-252211154227.2QB5
6SEA27-42258209019.2QB13
7LA23-482961018017.6QB14
9LV23-342200124222.2QB12
10HOU13-231581135010.8QB21
11LAC14-22153119116.0QB11
12ARI18-302563329020.1QB7
13TEN16-272292025021.7QB5
14IND17-302442016019.4QB13
15NYJ20-323305051144.3QB1
16DEN23-362793020131.2QB2
17IND23-372630126224.1QB5