Patrick Mahomes II

QBKCBye 5

QB11Maniacs rank, #102 overall
101.8ADP, pick 9.06
21.4'26 PPG, 4 games
2 of 4'26 spike weeks
21.2'25 PPG, QB10 finish
6.9%of Underdog teams

Stat Maniac

Through Week 5 of 2026, Patrick Mahomes II is averaging 21.4 half-PPR points per game on 19.0 xFP (61st percentile among QBs), 2.4 points per game above expectation. Mahomes is posting +0.19 EPA per dropback (71st percentile) and a CPOE of +0.6 (38th). The closest statistical comp since 2012 is Matthew Stafford's 2017 season (85% match): QB7 that year, then QB20 the next.

2026 season, through Week 5, 4 games, QB16 in total points. Percentiles against the top 36 QBs by points with 4+ games.

  1. Core
  2. Points per game8421.4
  3. xFP per game6119.0
  4. EPA per dropback710.19
  5. Scoring
  6. Spike-week rate5950%
  7. Ceiling week7727.1
  8. Floor week8017.0
  9. Opportunity
  10. Rush yards per game4110.3
  11. Rush xTD per game340.12
  12. aDOT187.0
  13. Efficiency
  14. Points over expected91+2.4
  15. CPOE380.6

Closest seasons since 2012

  1. 85%2017 Matthew Stafford: QB7 that season (17.7 PPG), QB20 the next year (13.9 PPG).
  2. 84%2014 Matt Ryan: QB7 that season (18.6 PPG), QB19 the next year (15.6 PPG).
  3. 84%2017 Jared Goff: QB13 that season (17.5 PPG), QB6 the next year (20.1 PPG).

PoorAverageElite Half PPR, Weeks 1-17. Comps match percentile profiles across 2012-2025 at the position. xFP is expected points on the same touches; how it works.

Season lines

Half PPR, Weeks 1-17
SeasonGCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsPPGSpike wksFinish
202514315-502358722114225296.221.29QB10
2026482-12810379241185.621.42QB16
2026Maniacs proj-------275.816.2--

A spike week is a top-12 QB finish that week, the weeks that win best ball. Finish is the season rank by half-PPR points among all QBs.

Game log

Full color = top-12 week

2026 season

Week 1 vs DEN: 22.7 pts, QB91Week 2 vs IND: 29.0 pts, QB42Week 3 vs MIA: 16.9 pts, QB203Week 4 vs LV: 17.0 pts, QB134Week 5: no game5Week 6: no game6Week 7: no game7Week 8: no game8Week 9: no game9Week 10: no game10Week 11: no game11Week 12: no game12Week 13: no game13Week 14: no game14Week 15: no game15Week 16: no game16Week 17: no game17
WkOppCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsFinish
1DEN15-271842123122.7QB9
2IND32-473823017029.0QB4
3MIA20-24246211016.9QB20
4LV15-30225200017.0QB13
2025 game log (14 games)Week 1 vs LAC: 26.0 pts, QB61Week 2 vs PHI: 23.1 pts, QB62Week 3 vs NYG: 13.2 pts, QB203Week 4 vs BAL: 27.3 pts, QB34Week 5 vs JAX: 27.7 pts, QB45Week 6 vs DET: 31.5 pts, QB16Week 7 vs LV: 26.2 pts, QB57Week 8 vs WAS: 25.0 pts, QB58Week 9 vs BUF: 11.5 pts, QB229Week 10: no game10Week 11 vs DEN: 14.3 pts, QB1411Week 12 vs IND: 18.1 pts, QB1012Week 13 vs DAL: 29.4 pts, QB113Week 14 vs HOU: 8.8 pts, QB2414Week 15 vs LAC: 14.1 pts, QB2415Week 16: no game16Week 17: no game17
WkOppCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsFinish
1LAC24-392581057126.0QB6
2PHI16-291871166123.1QB6
3NYG22-37224102013.2QB20
4BAL25-37270405027.3QB3
5JAX29-413181160127.7QB4
6DET22-302573032131.5QB1
7LV26-352863028026.2QB5
8WAS25-342993230025.0QB5
9BUF15-34250015011.5QB22
11DEN29-45276113014.3QB14
12IND29-463520130018.1QB10
13DAL23-342614030029.4QB1
14HOU14-33160035908.8QB24
15LAC16-281890115114.1QB24