Luther Burden III

WRCHIBye 10

WR22Maniacs rank, #44 overall
43.5ADP, pick 4.08
8.9'26 PPG, 5 games
1 of 5'26 spike weeks
7.0'25 PPG, WR51 finish
9.1%of Underdog teams

Stat Maniac

Through Week 5 of 2026, Luther Burden III is averaging 8.9 half-PPR points per game on 11.7 xFP (84th percentile among WRs), 2.9 points per game below expectation. Burden has played 65% of offensive snaps (43rd percentile) with -0.04 EPA per target (10th percentile). The closest statistical comp since 2012 is Hakeem Nicks' 2012 season (86% match): WR54 that year, then WR49 the next.

2026 season, through Week 5, 5 games, WR26 in total points. Percentiles against the top 96 WRs by points with 4+ games.

  1. Core
  2. Points per game708.9
  3. xFP per game8411.7
  4. EPA per target10-0.04
  5. Scoring
  6. Spike-week rate4220%
  7. Ceiling week5313.5
  8. Floor week836.9
  9. Opportunity
  10. Snap share4365%
  11. Target share7121.9%
  12. Air-yards share5827.1%
  13. aDOT219.0
  14. xTD per game860.50
  15. Efficiency
  16. Points over expected3-2.9
  17. 20+ yard catch rate5914.3%

Closest seasons since 2012

  1. 86%2012 Hakeem Nicks: WR54 that season (9.5 PPG), WR49 the next year (7.8 PPG).
  2. 85%2025 Jakobi Meyers: WR36 that season (8.8 PPG), no qualifying season the next year.
  3. 83%2020 DeVante Parker: WR42 that season (9.6 PPG), WR69 the next year (10.2 PPG).

PoorAverageElite Half PPR, Weeks 1-17. Comps match percentile profiles across 2012-2025 at the position. xFP is expected points on the same touches; how it works.

Season lines

Half PPR, Weeks 1-17
SeasonGTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsPPGSpike wksFinish
2025145644617213.0%0.2798.47.02WR51
202653523266121.9%0.5244.38.91WR26
2026Maniacs proj-------172.910.2--

A spike week is a top-24 WR finish that week, the weeks that win best ball. Finish is the season rank by half-PPR points among all WRs.

Game log

Full color = top-24 week

2026 season

Week 1 vs CAR: 7.0 pts, WR431Week 2 vs MIN: 4.7 pts, WR662Week 3 vs PHI: 16.3 pts, WR153Week 4 vs NYJ: 9.4 pts, WR404Week 5 vs GB: 6.9 pts, WR435Week 6: no game6Week 7: no game7Week 8: no game8Week 9: no game9Week 10: no game10Week 11: no game11Week 12: no game12Week 13: no game13Week 14: no game14Week 15: no game15Week 16: no game16Week 17: no game17
WkOppTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsFinish
1CAR5563019.2%0.377.0WR43
2MIN7332023.3%0.674.7WR66
3PHI11761132.4%0.6716.3WR15
4NYJ6463019.4%0.489.4WR40
5GB6447015.0%0.396.9WR43
2025 game log (14 games)Week 1 vs MIN: 0.2 pts, WR1171Week 2 vs DET: 1.0 pts, WR1142Week 3 vs DAL: 18.3 pts, WR63Week 4 vs LV: 0.6 pts, WR1104Week 5: no game5Week 6 vs WAS: 7.1 pts, WR366Week 7 vs NO: 2.6 pts, WR787Week 8 vs BAL: 0.4 pts, WR938Week 9: no game9Week 10 vs NYG: 6.6 pts, WR4110Week 11 vs MIN: 4.2 pts, WR5711Week 12 vs PIT: 7.6 pts, WR3512Week 13 vs PHI: 5.6 pts, WR4713Week 14 vs GB: 9.0 pts, WR2914Week 15 vs CLE: 11.4 pts, WR2615Week 16: no game16Week 17 vs SF: 23.8 pts, WR117
WkOppTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsFinish
1MIN11-302.9%0.030.2WR117
2DET21506.1%0.101.0WR114
3DAL33101110.7%0.3418.3WR6
4LV22-405.6%0.060.6WR110
6WAS4451013.8%0.257.1WR36
7NO212208.0%0.242.6WR78
8BAL11-102.9%0.040.4WR93
10NYG335108.3%0.196.6WR41
11MIN5327017.9%0.344.2WR57
12PIT5346016.7%0.337.6WR35
13PHI6433018.8%0.375.6WR47
14GB6467021.4%0.469.0WR29
15CLE7684025.9%0.5211.4WR26
17SF98138123.1%0.5523.8WR1