Luther Burden III

WRCHIBye 10

WR22Maniacs rank, #44 overall
43.5ADP, pick 4.08
5.8'26 PPG, 2 games
0 of 2'26 spike weeks
7.0'25 PPG, WR51 finish
9.1%of Underdog teams

Stat Maniac

Through Week 2 of 2026, Luther Burden III is averaging 5.9 half-PPR points per game on 8.2 xFP (61st percentile among WRs), 2.4 points per game below expectation. Burden has played 65% of offensive snaps (43rd percentile) with -0.17 EPA per target (14th percentile). The closest statistical comp since 2012 is Donnie Avery's 2012 season (91% match): WR43 that year, then WR64 the next.

2026 season, through Week 2, 2 games, WR48 in total points. Percentiles against the top 96 WRs by points with 2+ games (the minimum rises to 4 by Week 4).

  1. Points per game495.9
  2. xFP per game618.2
  3. Points over expected23-2.4
  4. Spike-week rate290%
  5. Ceiling week406.8
  6. Floor week565.3
  7. Boom rate440%
  8. Bust rate4750%
  9. Snap share4365%
  10. Target share6821.3%
  11. Air-yards share6128.7%
  12. WOPR680.52
  13. EPA per target14-0.17

Closest seasons since 2012

  1. 91%2012 Donnie Avery: WR43 that season (7.9 PPG), WR64 the next year (6.0 PPG).
  2. 89%2017 Dede Westbrook: WR91 that season (7.6 PPG), WR32 the next year (9.3 PPG).
  3. 89%2022 Nico Collins: WR74 that season (7.9 PPG), WR17 the next year (13.6 PPG).

PoorAverageElite Half PPR, Weeks 1-17. Comps match percentile profiles across 2012-2025 at the position. xFP is expected points on the same touches; how it works.

Season lines

Half PPR, Weeks 1-17
SeasonGTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsPPGSpike wksFinish
2025145644617213.0%0.2798.47.02WR51
2026212895021.3%0.5211.75.80WR48
2026Maniacs proj-------172.910.2--

A spike week is a top-24 WR finish that week, the weeks that win best ball. Finish is the season rank by half-PPR points among all WRs.

Game log

Full color = top-24 week

2026 season

Week 1 vs CAR: 7.0 pts, WR431Week 2 vs MIN: 4.7 pts, WR662Week 3: no game3Week 4: no game4Week 5: no game5Week 6: no game6Week 7: no game7Week 8: no game8Week 9: no game9Week 10: no game10Week 11: no game11Week 12: no game12Week 13: no game13Week 14: no game14Week 15: no game15Week 16: no game16Week 17: no game17
WkOppTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsFinish
1CAR5563019.2%0.377.0WR43
2MIN7332023.3%0.674.7WR66
2025 game log (14 games)Week 1 vs MIN: 0.2 pts, WR1171Week 2 vs DET: 1.0 pts, WR1142Week 3 vs DAL: 18.3 pts, WR63Week 4 vs LV: 0.6 pts, WR1104Week 5: no game5Week 6 vs WAS: 7.1 pts, WR366Week 7 vs NO: 2.6 pts, WR777Week 8 vs BAL: 0.4 pts, WR938Week 9: no game9Week 10 vs NYG: 6.6 pts, WR4110Week 11 vs MIN: 4.2 pts, WR5711Week 12 vs PIT: 7.6 pts, WR3512Week 13 vs PHI: 5.6 pts, WR4713Week 14 vs GB: 9.0 pts, WR2914Week 15 vs CLE: 11.4 pts, WR2615Week 16: no game16Week 17 vs SF: 23.8 pts, WR117
WkOppTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsFinish
1MIN11-302.9%0.030.2WR117
2DET21506.1%0.101.0WR114
3DAL33101110.7%0.3418.3WR6
4LV22-405.6%0.060.6WR110
6WAS4451013.8%0.257.1WR36
7NO212208.0%0.242.6WR77
8BAL11-102.9%0.040.4WR93
10NYG335108.3%0.196.6WR41
11MIN5327017.9%0.344.2WR57
12PIT5346016.7%0.337.6WR35
13PHI6433018.8%0.375.6WR47
14GB6467021.4%0.469.0WR29
15CLE7684025.9%0.5211.4WR26
17SF98138123.1%0.5523.8WR1