Justin Jefferson

WRMINBye 6

WR6Maniacs rank, #11 overall
11.3ADP, pick 1.11
13.6'26 PPG, 4 games
2 of 4'26 spike weeks
9.1'25 PPG, WR29 finish
8.9%of Underdog teams

Stat Maniac

Through Week 5 of 2026, Justin Jefferson is averaging 13.6 half-PPR points per game on 9.5 xFP (69th percentile among WRs), 4.1 points per game above expectation, a pace that usually cools. Jefferson has played 73% of offensive snaps (59th percentile) with +0.88 EPA per target (94th percentile). The closest statistical comp since 2012 is Stefon Diggs' 2017 season (91% match): WR20 that year, then WR11 the next.

2026 season, through Week 5, 4 games, WR20 in total points. Percentiles against the top 96 WRs by points with 4+ games.

  1. Core
  2. Points per game8813.6
  3. xFP per game699.5
  4. EPA per target940.88
  5. Scoring
  6. Spike-week rate8150%
  7. Ceiling week9223.8
  8. Floor week776.3
  9. Opportunity
  10. Snap share5973%
  11. Target share8525.7%
  12. Air-yards share8738.6%
  13. aDOT4411.0
  14. xTD per game640.34
  15. Efficiency
  16. Points over expected96+4.1
  17. 20+ yard catch rate7416.7%

Closest seasons since 2012

  1. 91%2017 Stefon Diggs: WR20 that season (11.9 PPG), WR11 the next year (14.4 PPG).
  2. 90%2013 Anquan Boldin: WR14 that season (12.7 PPG), WR21 the next year (11.1 PPG).
  3. 90%2017 Robert Woods: WR32 that season (11.3 PPG), WR10 the next year (13.9 PPG).

PoorAverageElite Half PPR, Weeks 1-17. Comps match percentile profiles across 2012-2025 at the position. xFP is expected points on the same touches; how it works.

Season lines

Half PPR, Weeks 1-17
SeasonGTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsPPGSpike wksFinish
20251613076947230.3%0.74145.19.14WR29
202642419258325.7%0.6654.213.62WR20
2026Maniacs proj-------290.817.1--

A spike week is a top-24 WR finish that week, the weeks that win best ball. Finish is the season rank by half-PPR points among all WRs.

Game log

Full color = top-24 week

2026 season

Week 1 vs GB: 27.2 pts, WR31Week 2 vs CHI: 7.0 pts, WR402Week 3 vs TB: 4.2 pts, WR723Week 4: no game4Week 5 vs NO: 15.8 pts, WR155Week 6: no game6Week 7: no game7Week 8: no game8Week 9: no game9Week 10: no game10Week 11: no game11Week 12: no game12Week 13: no game13Week 14: no game14Week 15: no game15Week 16: no game16Week 17: no game17
WkOppTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsFinish
1GB9892239.1%0.9127.2WR3
2CHI6355031.6%0.887.0WR40
3TB223208.0%0.174.2WR72
5NO7679124.1%0.6715.8WR15
2025 game log (16 games)Week 1 vs CHI: 12.8 pts, WR191Week 2 vs ATL: 9.6 pts, WR382Week 3 vs CIN: 10.0 pts, WR333Week 4 vs PIT: 17.6 pts, WR94Week 5 vs CLE: 15.8 pts, WR115Week 6: no game6Week 7 vs PHI: 10.4 pts, WR257Week 8 vs LAC: 10.9 pts, WR268Week 9 vs DET: 13.7 pts, WR199Week 10 vs BAL: 5.7 pts, WR4410Week 11 vs CHI: 8.6 pts, WR2711Week 12 vs GB: 6.8 pts, WR3812Week 13 vs SEA: 1.4 pts, WR9613Week 14 vs WAS: 2.1 pts, WR8014Week 15 vs DAL: 3.2 pts, WR7615Week 16 vs NYG: 11.5 pts, WR2516Week 17 vs DET: 5.0 pts, WR5217
WkOppTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsFinish
1CHI7444135.0%0.9412.8WR19
2ATL6381028.6%0.719.6WR38
3CIN7575029.2%0.6210.0WR33
4PIT1110126026.2%0.6717.6WR9
5CLE117123032.4%0.9515.8WR11
7PHI10579025.0%0.5810.4WR25
8LAC11774036.7%1.0710.9WR26
9DET9647139.1%0.7413.7WR19
10BAL12437029.3%0.775.7WR44
11CHI9561028.1%0.618.6WR27
12GB6448033.3%0.916.8WR38
13SEA624020.7%0.511.4WR96
14WAS4211017.4%0.442.1WR80
15DAL8222033.3%0.703.2WR76
16NYG8685034.8%0.8511.5WR25
17DET5430035.7%0.745.0WR52