Josh Downs

WRINDBye 13

WR41Maniacs rank, #88 overall
88.6ADP, pick 8.05
7.0'26 PPG, 5 games
1 of 5'26 spike weeks
6.8'25 PPG, WR48 finish
8.6%of Underdog teams

Stat Maniac

Through Week 5 of 2026, Josh Downs is averaging 7.0 half-PPR points per game on 9.0 xFP (66th percentile among WRs), 2.0 points per game below expectation. Downs has played 80% of offensive snaps (74th percentile) with +0.34 EPA per target (51st percentile). The closest statistical comp since 2012 is Marvin Jones' 2015 season (90% match): WR39 that year, then WR43 the next.

2026 season, through Week 5, 5 games, WR48 in total points. Percentiles against the top 96 WRs by points with 4+ games.

  1. Core
  2. Points per game457.0
  3. xFP per game669.0
  4. EPA per target510.34
  5. Scoring
  6. Spike-week rate4220%
  7. Ceiling week3710.5
  8. Floor week524.7
  9. Opportunity
  10. Snap share7480%
  11. Target share6620.6%
  12. Air-yards share6228.3%
  13. aDOT4611.1
  14. xTD per game480.27
  15. Efficiency
  16. Points over expected12-2.0
  17. 20+ yard catch rate4511.8%

Closest seasons since 2012

  1. 90%2015 Marvin Jones: WR39 that season (8.8 PPG), WR43 the next year (9.7 PPG).
  2. 88%2015 Nate Washington: WR49 that season (8.7 PPG), no qualifying season the next year.
  3. 88%2018 Demaryius Thomas: WR39 that season (8.5 PPG), WR85 the next year (6.1 PPG).

PoorAverageElite Half PPR, Weeks 1-17. Comps match percentile profiles across 2012-2025 at the position. xFP is expected points on the same touches; how it works.

Season lines

Half PPR, Weeks 1-17
SeasonGTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsPPGSpike wksFinish
2025158454505417.8%0.39101.86.83WR48
202653420249020.6%0.5134.97.01WR48
2026Maniacs proj-------157.89.3--

A spike week is a top-24 WR finish that week, the weeks that win best ball. Finish is the season rank by half-PPR points among all WRs.

Game log

Full color = top-24 week

2026 season

Week 1 vs BAL: 4.7 pts, WR621Week 2 vs KC: 10.7 pts, WR232Week 3 vs HOU: 10.2 pts, WR343Week 4 vs WAS: 3.1 pts, WR784Week 5 vs PIT: 6.2 pts, WR475Week 6: no game6Week 7: no game7Week 8: no game8Week 9: no game9Week 10: no game10Week 11: no game11Week 12: no game12Week 13: no game13Week 14: no game14Week 15: no game15Week 16: no game16Week 17: no game17
WkOppTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsFinish
1BAL4237013.8%0.334.7WR62
2KC9772030.0%0.7710.7WR23
3HOU11577031.4%0.9010.2WR34
4WAS4316013.8%0.203.1WR78
5PIT6347014.0%0.346.2WR47
2025 game log (15 games)Week 1 vs MIA: 2.2 pts, WR891Week 2 vs DEN: 8.1 pts, WR492Week 3 vs TEN: 4.4 pts, WR623Week 4 vs LA: 4.4 pts, WR634Week 5 vs LV: 8.4 pts, WR415Week 6 vs ARI: 13.2 pts, WR166Week 7: no game7Week 8 vs TEN: 11.4 pts, WR218Week 9 vs PIT: 14.7 pts, WR149Week 10 vs ATL: 0.8 pts, WR9210Week 11: no game11Week 12 vs KC: 2.0 pts, WR7612Week 13 vs HOU: 5.4 pts, WR4913Week 14 vs JAX: 4.3 pts, WR5314Week 15 vs SEA: 8.8 pts, WR3515Week 16 vs SF: 9.3 pts, WR3216Week 17 vs JAX: 4.4 pts, WR6017
WkOppTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsFinish
1MIA3212010.3%0.202.2WR89
2DEN8651024.2%0.498.1WR49
3TEN3234012.0%0.374.4WR62
4LA5424015.6%0.284.4WR63
5LV8654025.8%0.548.4WR41
6ARI7642123.3%0.4613.2WR16
8TEN3339110.7%0.2411.4WR21
9PIT9657118.8%0.3714.7WR14
10ATL21307.7%0.130.8WR92
12KC6210019.4%0.522.0WR76
13HOU6244024.0%0.535.4WR49
14JAX5423013.9%0.254.3WR53
15SEA5313119.2%0.428.8WR35
16SF9565025.0%0.619.3WR32
17JAX5234017.2%0.384.4WR60