Xavier Hutchinson

WRHOUBye 8

WR110Maniacs rank, #266 overall
215.8ADP, pick 18.12
5.0'26 PPG, 2 games
0 of 2'26 spike weeks
4.6'25 PPG, WR73 finish
0.1%of Underdog teams

Stat Maniac

Through Week 2 of 2026, Xavier Hutchinson is averaging 5.0 half-PPR points per game on 9.4 xFP (69th percentile among WRs), 4.5 points per game below expectation, the kind of gap that tends to close. Hutchinson has played 69% of offensive snaps (51st percentile) with -0.07 EPA per target (20th percentile). The closest statistical comp since 2012 is Michael Gallup's 2022 season (89% match): WR63 that year, then WR78 the next.

2026 season, through Week 2, 2 games, WR63 in total points. Percentiles against the top 96 WRs by points with 2+ games (the minimum rises to 4 by Week 4).

  1. Points per game345.0
  2. xFP per game699.4
  3. Points over expected7-4.5
  4. Spike-week rate290%
  5. Ceiling week145.2
  6. Floor week444.8
  7. Boom rate440%
  8. Bust rate11100%
  9. Snap share5169%
  10. Target share4817.1%
  11. Air-yards share3920.6%
  12. WOPR450.40
  13. EPA per target20-0.07

Closest seasons since 2012

  1. 89%2022 Michael Gallup: WR63 that season (6.5 PPG), WR78 the next year (4.7 PPG).
  2. 89%2023 Elijah Moore: WR52 that season (6.4 PPG), WR73 the next year (5.3 PPG).
  3. 88%2014 Reggie Wayne: WR52 that season (8.0 PPG), no qualifying season the next year.

PoorAverageElite Half PPR, Weeks 1-17. Comps match percentile profiles across 2012-2025 at the position. xFP is expected points on the same touches; how it works.

Season lines

Half PPR, Weeks 1-17
SeasonGTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsPPGSpike wksFinish
202515483034439.8%0.2369.64.62WR73
2026215669017.1%0.409.95.00WR62
2026Maniacs proj-------30.91.8--

A spike week is a top-24 WR finish that week, the weeks that win best ball. Finish is the season rank by half-PPR points among all WRs.

Game log

Full color = top-24 week

2026 season

Week 1 vs BUF: 4.7 pts, WR611Week 2 vs CIN: 5.2 pts, WR572Week 3: no game3Week 4: no game4Week 5: no game5Week 6: no game6Week 7: no game7Week 8: no game8Week 9: no game9Week 10: no game10Week 11: no game11Week 12: no game12Week 13: no game13Week 14: no game14Week 15: no game15Week 16: no game16Week 17: no game17
WkOppTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsFinish
1BUF6332016.2%0.374.7WR61
2CIN9337018.0%0.445.2WR57
2025 game log (15 games)Week 1 vs LA: 4.5 pts, WR621Week 2 vs TB: 3.9 pts, WR802Week 3 vs JAX: 3.1 pts, WR813Week 4 vs TEN: 2.7 pts, WR824Week 5 vs BAL: 15.3 pts, WR155Week 6: no game6Week 7 vs SEA: 1.8 pts, WR907Week 8 vs SF: 15.4 pts, WR78Week 9 vs DEN: 4.5 pts, WR579Week 10: no game10Week 11 vs TEN: 5.7 pts, WR4611Week 12 vs BUF: 0.9 pts, WR9212Week 13 vs IND: 4.9 pts, WR5313Week 14 vs KC: 0.0 pts, WR12114Week 15 vs ARI: 2.1 pts, WR8915Week 16 vs LV: 0.9 pts, WR11216Week 17 vs LAC: 3.9 pts, WR6617
WkOppTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTgt shareWOPRPtsFinish
1LA223007.4%0.234.5WR62
2TB3229013.0%0.313.9WR80
3JAX331608.3%0.153.1WR81
4TEN3217010.7%0.212.7WR82
5BAL331829.7%0.1915.3WR15
7SEA411308.7%0.261.8WR90
8SF6569115.8%0.3415.4WR7
9DEN5330012.8%0.304.5WR57
11TEN5342012.5%0.315.7WR46
12BUF00000.0%0.000.9WR92
13IND5239015.6%0.374.9WR53
14KC20007.4%0.180.0WR121
15ARI211607.7%0.152.1WR89
16LV21405.9%0.130.9WR112
17LAC3221011.5%0.233.9WR66