How Stat Maniac works
Every number is half PPR over Weeks 1-17, the best ball season. Spike weeks are top-12 QB/TE or top-24 RB/WR finishes; the ceiling is a player's 90th-percentile week and the floor his 25th. Boom weeks are 25+ points for a QB, 20+ for RBs and WRs and 15+ for TEs; bust weeks fall under 12, 6, 6 and 4.
Percentiles compare each player with the fantasy-relevant players at his position that season: the top 36 QBs, 72 RBs, 96 WRs and 36 TEs by points, with at least four games. Early in a season the minimum is the number of weeks played, rising to four by Week 4, so the current season ranks from Week 1. Comps find the seasons since 2012 whose percentile profile sits closest, and show how those players finished that year and the next.
xFP is expected half PPR points: what an average player would score on the same carries and targets, given where on the field and how far downfield they came. Points over expected is actual minus xFP per game; a big number either way tends to come back toward zero. Snap share is the share of offensive snaps played in games he appeared in. Stats and snap counts come from nflverse; xFP from the ffverse expected points model. Everything refreshes every Monday and Tuesday in season.