Tua Tagovailoa

QBATLBye 11

QB34Maniacs rank, #228 overall
214.4ADP, pick 18.10
11.5'25 PPG, QB25 finish
8.9%of Underdog teams

Stat Maniac

In 2025, Tua Tagovailoa averaged 12.5 half-PPR points per game on 12.9 xFP (7th percentile among QBs), right in line with expectation. Tagovailoa posted +0.03 EPA per dropback (46th percentile) and a CPOE of +2.0 (63rd). The closest statistical comp since 2012 is Mitchell Trubisky's 2022 season (88% match): QB36 that year, then QB45 the next.

2025 season, 14 games, QB25 in total points. Percentiles against the top 36 QBs by points with 4+ games.

  1. Points per game1312.5
  2. xFP per game712.9
  3. Points over expected65-0.3
  4. Spike-week rate1114%
  5. Ceiling week1521.8
  6. Floor week217.7
  7. Boom rate140%
  8. Bust rate1150%
  9. EPA per dropback460.03
  10. CPOE632.0
  11. Rush yards per game153.1
  12. Pass attempts per game2427.4

Closest seasons since 2012

  1. 88%2022 Mitchell Trubisky: QB36 that season (11.3 PPG), QB45 the next year (10.7 PPG).
  2. 88%2023 Will Levis: QB34 that season (11.8 PPG), QB32 the next year (10.9 PPG).
  3. 87%2017 Jay Cutler: QB27 that season (12.3 PPG), no qualifying season the next year.

PoorAverageElite Half PPR, Weeks 1-17. Comps match percentile profiles across 2012-2025 at the position. xFP is expected points on the same touches; how it works.

Season lines

Half PPR, Weeks 1-17
SeasonGCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsPPGSpike wksFinish
202514260-38426602015430160.711.52QB25
2026Maniacs proj-------213.512.6--

A spike week is a top-12 QB finish that week, the weeks that win best ball. Finish is the season rank by half-PPR points among all QBs.

Game log

Full color = top-12 week

2025 season

Week 1 vs IND: 5.3 pts, QB311Week 2 vs NE: 18.6 pts, QB172Week 3 vs BUF: 12.8 pts, QB193Week 4 vs NYJ: 15.7 pts, QB194Week 5 vs CAR: 22.7 pts, QB95Week 6 vs LAC: 6.6 pts, QB296Week 7 vs CLE: -1.4 pts, QB387Week 8 vs ATL: 24.2 pts, QB68Week 9 vs BAL: 8.5 pts, QB259Week 10 vs BUF: 10.8 pts, QB2010Week 11 vs WAS: 6.8 pts, QB2611Week 12: no game12Week 13 vs NO: 4.7 pts, QB2913Week 14 vs NYJ: 9.1 pts, QB2214Week 15 vs PIT: 16.2 pts, QB1815Week 16: no game16Week 17: no game17
WkOppCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsFinish
1IND14-2311412705.3QB31
2NE26-32315210018.6QB17
3BUF22-341462110012.8QB19
4NYJ17-25177206015.7QB19
5CAR27-36256305022.7QB9
6LAC21-3220513406.6QB29
7CLE12-231000360-1.4QB38
8ATL20-26205400024.2QB6
9BAL25-4026101108.5QB25
10BUF15-2117322-1010.8QB20
11WAS14-2017100006.8QB26
13NO12-2315701404.7QB29
14NYJ13-2112710009.1QB22
15PIT22-28253211016.2QB18