Matthew Stafford
Stat Maniac
Through Week 5 of 2026, Matthew Stafford is averaging 19.0 half-PPR points per game on 22.1 xFP (84th percentile among QBs), 3.1 points per game below expectation, the kind of gap that tends to close. Stafford is posting +0.14 EPA per dropback (63rd percentile) and a CPOE of +0.3 (34th). The closest statistical comp since 2012 is Matt Ryan's 2020 season (87% match): QB12 that year, then QB20 the next.
2026 season, through Week 5, 5 games, QB7 in total points. Percentiles against the top 36 QBs by points with 4+ games.
Closest seasons since 2012
- 87%2020 Matt Ryan: QB12 that season (18.3 PPG), QB20 the next year (13.9 PPG).
- 86%2012 Eli Manning: QB14 that season (15.5 PPG), QB21 the next year (12.3 PPG).
- 86%2014 Eli Manning: QB11 that season (17.7 PPG), QB10 the next year (18.8 PPG).
2025 season, 16 games, QB3 in total points. Percentiles against the top 36 QBs by points with 4+ games.
Closest seasons since 2012
- 88%2020 Tom Brady: QB8 that season (21.9 PPG), QB3 the next year (22.6 PPG).
- 86%2015 Carson Palmer: QB5 that season (20.0 PPG), QB20 the next year (17.1 PPG).
- 86%2016 Ben Roethlisberger: QB17 that season (18.9 PPG), QB9 the next year (18.3 PPG).
PoorAverageElite Half PPR, Weeks 1-17. Comps match percentile profiles across 2012-2025 at the position. xFP is expected points on the same touches; how it works.
Season lines
Half PPR, Weeks 1-17| Season | G | Cmp-Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush yds | Rush TD | Pts | PPG | Spike wks | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16 | 363-557 | 4448 | 42 | 8 | -2 | 0 | 331.7 | 20.7 | 9 | QB3 |
| 2026 | 5 | 139-216 | 1572 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 95.0 | 19.0 | 3 | QB7 |
| 2026Maniacs proj | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 299.0 | 17.6 | - | - |
A spike week is a top-12 QB finish that week, the weeks that win best ball. Finish is the season rank by half-PPR points among all QBs.
Game log
Full color = top-12 week2026 season
| Wk | Opp | Cmp-Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush yds | Rush TD | Pts | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | 15-25 | 155 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 5.1 | QB32 |
| 2 | NYG | 22-31 | 327 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 28.0 | QB6 |
| 3 | DEN | 30-55 | 390 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 22.9 | QB9 |
| 4 | PHI | 32-51 | 317 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 11.7 | QB26 |
| 5 | BUF | 40-54 | 383 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27.3 | QB5 |
2025 game log (16 games)
| Wk | Opp | Cmp-Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush yds | Rush TD | Pts | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOU | 21-29 | 245 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 13.6 | QB20 |
| 2 | TEN | 23-33 | 298 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 0 | 18.3 | QB19 |
| 3 | PHI | 19-33 | 196 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14.8 | QB14 |
| 4 | IND | 29-41 | 375 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 27.4 | QB2 |
| 5 | SF | 30-47 | 389 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25.6 | QB8 |
| 6 | BAL | 17-26 | 181 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9.3 | QB26 |
| 7 | JAX | 21-33 | 182 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27.4 | QB4 |
| 9 | NO | 24-32 | 281 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 26.8 | QB8 |
| 10 | SF | 24-36 | 280 | 4 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 26.9 | QB2 |
| 11 | SEA | 15-28 | 130 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.2 | QB16 |
| 12 | TB | 25-35 | 273 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22.9 | QB5 |
| 13 | CAR | 18-28 | 243 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 13.6 | QB20 |
| 14 | ARI | 22-31 | 281 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23.2 | QB5 |
| 15 | DET | 24-38 | 368 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21.9 | QB11 |
| 16 | SEA | 29-49 | 457 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 30.9 | QB3 |
| 17 | ATL | 22-38 | 269 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15.8 | QB16 |