Josh Allen

QBBUFBye 7

QB1Maniacs rank, #37 overall
36.6ADP, pick 4.01
29.3'26 PPG, 5 games
4 of 5'26 spike weeks
23.4'25 PPG, QB1 finish
7.2%of Underdog teams

Stat Maniac

Through Week 5 of 2026, Josh Allen is averaging 29.3 half-PPR points per game on 25.5 xFP (98th percentile among QBs), 3.8 points per game above expectation, a pace that usually cools. Allen is posting +0.29 EPA per dropback (88th percentile) and a CPOE of +5.1 (77th). The closest statistical comp since 2012 is Lamar Jackson's 2019 season (94% match): QB1 that year, then QB10 the next.

2026 season, through Week 5, 5 games, QB1 in total points. Percentiles against the top 36 QBs by points with 4+ games.

  1. Core
  2. Points per game9829.3
  3. xFP per game9825.5
  4. EPA per dropback880.29
  5. Scoring
  6. Spike-week rate9680%
  7. Ceiling week9838.8
  8. Floor week9119.5
  9. Opportunity
  10. Rush yards per game9847.8
  11. Rush xTD per game981.05
  12. aDOT849.5
  13. Efficiency
  14. Points over expected95+3.8
  15. CPOE775.1

Closest seasons since 2012

  1. 94%2019 Lamar Jackson: QB1 that season (28.1 PPG), QB10 the next year (22.8 PPG).
  2. 92%2016 Aaron Rodgers: QB1 that season (24.2 PPG), QB31 the next year (19.4 PPG).
  3. 91%2024 Lamar Jackson: QB1 that season (25.7 PPG), QB20 the next year (16.7 PPG).

PoorAverageElite Half PPR, Weeks 1-17. Comps match percentile profiles across 2012-2025 at the position. xFP is expected points on the same touches; how it works.

Season lines

Half PPR, Weeks 1-17
SeasonGCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsPPGSpike wksFinish
202516319-4603668251057914374.623.411QB1
2026591-1381249742398146.529.34QB1
2026Maniacs proj-------375.822.1--

A spike week is a top-12 QB finish that week, the weeks that win best ball. Finish is the season rank by half-PPR points among all QBs.

Game log

Full color = top-12 week

2026 season

Week 1 vs HOU: 35.7 pts, QB21Week 2 vs DET: 40.8 pts, QB12Week 3 vs LAC: 19.0 pts, QB183Week 4 vs NE: 19.5 pts, QB104Week 5 vs LA: 31.5 pts, QB35Week 6: no game6Week 7: no game7Week 8: no game8Week 9: no game9Week 10: no game10Week 11: no game11Week 12: no game12Week 13: no game13Week 14: no game14Week 15: no game15Week 16: no game16Week 17: no game17
WkOppCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsFinish
1HOU20-293342023235.7QB2
2DET20-312483069240.8QB1
3LAC16-262040222219.0QB18
4NE23-33253114119.5QB10
5LA12-1921011121131.5QB3
2025 game log (16 games)Week 1 vs BAL: 38.8 pts, QB11Week 2 vs NYJ: 11.8 pts, QB252Week 3 vs MIA: 23.0 pts, QB53Week 4 vs NO: 25.9 pts, QB74Week 5 vs NE: 20.4 pts, QB125Week 6 vs ATL: 17.4 pts, QB176Week 7: no game7Week 8 vs CAR: 23.2 pts, QB98Week 9 vs KC: 28.8 pts, QB39Week 10 vs MIA: 20.3 pts, QB810Week 11 vs TB: 44.7 pts, QB111Week 12 vs HOU: 10.1 pts, QB2212Week 13 vs PIT: 17.7 pts, QB1313Week 14 vs CIN: 37.8 pts, QB114Week 15 vs NE: 24.5 pts, QB615Week 16 vs CLE: 6.9 pts, QB2716Week 17 vs PHI: 23.2 pts, QB617
WkOppCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsFinish
1BAL33-463942030238.8QB1
2NYJ14-251480059011.8QB25
3MIA22-282133025023.0QB5
4NO16-222092145125.9QB7
5NE22-312532153020.4QB12
6ATL15-261802242017.4QB17
8CAR12-19163107223.2QB9
9KC23-262731019228.8QB3
10MIA28-403062131020.3QB8
11TB19-303173240344.7QB1
12HOU24-342530220010.1QB22
13PIT15-231231138117.7QB13
14CIN22-282513078137.8QB1
15NE19-281933048024.5QB6
16CLE12-19130001706.9QB27
17PHI23-352620027223.2QB6