J.J. McCarthy

QBMINBye 6

QB53Maniacs rank, #301 overall
216.0ADP, pick 18.12
13.0'25 PPG, QB32 finish
0.7%of Underdog teams

Stat Maniac

In 2025, J.J. McCarthy averaged 14.4 half-PPR points per game on 16.1 xFP (46th percentile among QBs), 1.7 points per game below expectation. McCarthy posted -0.25 EPA per dropback (1st percentile) and a CPOE of -6.2 (1st). The closest statistical comp since 2012 is Blaine Gabbert's 2016 season (88% match): QB33 that year, then QB38 the next.

2025 season, 9 games, QB31 in total points. Percentiles against the top 36 QBs by points with 4+ games.

  1. Points per game3314.4
  2. xFP per game4616.1
  3. Points over expected24-1.7
  4. Spike-week rate3833%
  5. Ceiling week4623.5
  6. Floor week288.0
  7. Boom rate140%
  8. Bust rate2444%
  9. EPA per dropback1-0.25
  10. CPOE1-6.2
  11. Rush yards per game6319.3
  12. Pass attempts per game1324.4

Closest seasons since 2012

  1. 88%2016 Blaine Gabbert: QB33 that season (13.2 PPG), QB38 the next year (13.5 PPG).
  2. 86%2013 EJ Manuel: QB28 that season (14.2 PPG), QB41 the next year (15.4 PPG).
  3. 85%2022 Zach Wilson: QB33 that season (11.7 PPG), QB28 the next year (10.6 PPG).

PoorAverageElite Half PPR, Weeks 1-17. Comps match percentile profiles across 2012-2025 at the position. xFP is expected points on the same touches; how it works.

Season lines

Half PPR, Weeks 1-17
SeasonGCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsPPGSpike wksFinish
20259126-220145011121744117.413.03QB32
2026Maniacs proj-------201.111.8--

A spike week is a top-12 QB finish that week, the weeks that win best ball. Finish is the season rank by half-PPR points among all QBs.

Game log

Full color = top-12 week

2025 season

Week 1 vs CHI: 22.2 pts, QB121Week 2 vs ATL: 2.8 pts, QB352Week 3: no game3Week 4: no game4Week 5: no game5Week 6: no game6Week 7: no game7Week 8: no game8Week 9 vs DET: 18.9 pts, QB149Week 10 vs BAL: 14.7 pts, QB1610Week 11 vs CHI: 6.0 pts, QB2711Week 12 vs GB: 0.5 pts, QB3112Week 13: no game13Week 14 vs WAS: 20.4 pts, QB914Week 15 vs DAL: 23.5 pts, QB715Week 16 vs NYG: 8.3 pts, QB2516Week 17: no game17
WkOppCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsFinish
1CHI13-201432125122.2QB12
2ATL11-21158022502.8QB35
9DET14-251432112118.9QB14
10BAL20-422481248014.7QB16
11CHI16-3215012006.0QB27
12GB12-1987021000.5QB31
14WAS16-231633019020.4QB9
15DAL15-242502115123.5QB7
16NYG9-14108012018.3QB25