Geno Smith

QBNYJBye 13

QB28Maniacs rank, #186 overall
186.8ADP, pick 16.07
12.4'26 PPG, 2 games
0 of 2'26 spike weeks
11.6'25 PPG, QB23 finish
6.9%of Underdog teams

Stat Maniac

Through Week 2 of 2026, Geno Smith is averaging 12.4 half-PPR points per game on 13.5 xFP (29th percentile among QBs), 1.1 points per game below expectation. Smith is posting +0.20 EPA per dropback (65th percentile) and a CPOE of +8.4 (77th). The closest statistical comp since 2012 is Derek Carr's 2017 season (87% match): QB19 that year, then QB19 the next.

2026 season, through Week 2, 2 games, QB24 in total points. Percentiles against the top 36 QBs by points with 2+ games (the minimum rises to 4 by Week 4).

  1. Points per game2712.4
  2. xFP per game2913.5
  3. Points over expected38-1.1
  4. Spike-week rate210%
  5. Ceiling week2615.0
  6. Floor week3210.9
  7. Boom rate330%
  8. Bust rate2750%
  9. EPA per dropback650.20
  10. CPOE778.4
  11. Rush yards per game4712.0
  12. Pass attempts per game7132.5

Closest seasons since 2012

  1. 87%2017 Derek Carr: QB19 that season (14.6 PPG), QB19 the next year (14.1 PPG).
  2. 87%2021 Mac Jones: QB17 that season (14.1 PPG), QB27 the next year (12.5 PPG).
  3. 85%2019 Philip Rivers: QB15 that season (16.0 PPG), QB20 the next year (15.7 PPG).

PoorAverageElite Half PPR, Weeks 1-17. Comps match percentile profiles across 2012-2025 at the position. xFP is expected points on the same touches; how it works.

Season lines

Half PPR, Weeks 1-17
SeasonGCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsPPGSpike wksFinish
202515302-448302519171090173.911.62QB23
2026246-654621024024.912.40QB24
2026Maniacs proj-------231.913.6--

A spike week is a top-12 QB finish that week, the weeks that win best ball. Finish is the season rank by half-PPR points among all QBs.

Game log

Full color = top-12 week

2026 season

Week 1 vs TEN: 9.3 pts, QB281Week 2 vs GB: 15.6 pts, QB162Week 3: no game3Week 4: no game4Week 5: no game5Week 6: no game6Week 7: no game7Week 8: no game8Week 9: no game9Week 10: no game10Week 11: no game11Week 12: no game12Week 13: no game13Week 14: no game14Week 15: no game15Week 16: no game16Week 17: no game17
WkOppCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsFinish
1TEN19-2421500709.3QB28
2GB27-412471017015.6QB16
2025 game log (15 games)Week 1 vs NE: 17.5 pts, QB151Week 2 vs LAC: 3.2 pts, QB342Week 3 vs WAS: 26.1 pts, QB43Week 4 vs CHI: 9.8 pts, QB294Week 5 vs IND: 5.9 pts, QB275Week 6 vs TEN: 8.7 pts, QB266Week 7 vs KC: 2.8 pts, QB307Week 8: no game8Week 9 vs JAX: 26.3 pts, QB89Week 10 vs DEN: 4.4 pts, QB2710Week 11 vs DAL: 12.9 pts, QB1711Week 12 vs CLE: 14.2 pts, QB1612Week 13 vs LAC: 12.0 pts, QB2213Week 14 vs DEN: 9.0 pts, QB2314Week 15: no game15Week 16 vs HOU: 14.0 pts, QB1916Week 17 vs NYG: 7.1 pts, QB2817
WkOppCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsFinish
1NE24-343621110017.5QB15
2LAC24-43180032003.2QB34
3WAS19-29289305026.1QB4
4CHI14-21117233109.8QB29
5IND25-3622802805.9QB27
6TEN17-2317411-308.7QB26
7KC10-166700102.8QB30
9JAX29-39284419026.3QB8
10DEN16-2614301704.4QB27
11DAL27-422381114012.9QB17
12CLE30-44285108014.2QB16
13LAC18-2316521-6012.0QB22
14DEN13-2111610409.0QB23
16HOU16-23201210014.0QB19
17NYG20-2817612107.1QB28