C.J. Stroud

QBHOUBye 8

QB24Maniacs rank, #151 overall
149.2ADP, pick 13.05
17.8'26 PPG, 5 games
1 of 5'26 spike weeks
15.3'25 PPG, QB21 finish
7.2%of Underdog teams

Stat Maniac

Through Week 5 of 2026, C.J. Stroud is averaging 17.8 half-PPR points per game on 19.0 xFP (61st percentile among QBs), 1.1 points per game below expectation. Stroud is posting +0.09 EPA per dropback (52nd percentile) and a CPOE of +2.5 (66th). The closest statistical comp since 2012 is Jameis Winston's 2016 season (89% match): QB13 that year, then QB22 the next.

2026 season, through Week 5, 5 games, QB13 in total points. Percentiles against the top 36 QBs by points with 4+ games.

  1. Core
  2. Points per game4617.8
  3. xFP per game6119.0
  4. EPA per dropback520.09
  5. Scoring
  6. Spike-week rate2520%
  7. Ceiling week3422.2
  8. Floor week7716.5
  9. Opportunity
  10. Rush yards per game6314.2
  11. Rush xTD per game380.14
  12. aDOT899.6
  13. Efficiency
  14. Points over expected48-1.1
  15. CPOE662.5

Closest seasons since 2012

  1. 89%2016 Jameis Winston: QB13 that season (17.1 PPG), QB22 the next year (16.4 PPG).
  2. 88%2013 Ryan Tannehill: QB16 that season (16.0 PPG), QB8 the next year (18.2 PPG).
  3. 86%2015 Ryan Tannehill: QB17 that season (16.9 PPG), QB26 the next year (15.6 PPG).

PoorAverageElite Half PPR, Weeks 1-17. Comps match percentile profiles across 2012-2025 at the position. xFP is expected points on the same touches; how it works.

Season lines

Half PPR, Weeks 1-17
SeasonGCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsPPGSpike wksFinish
202513259-40028721882040199.315.33QB21
20265119-18514026071189.217.81QB13
2026Maniacs proj-------252.514.9--

A spike week is a top-12 QB finish that week, the weeks that win best ball. Finish is the season rank by half-PPR points among all QBs.

Game log

Full color = top-12 week

2026 season

Week 1 vs BUF: 16.5 pts, QB161Week 2 vs CIN: 17.0 pts, QB142Week 3 vs IND: 11.7 pts, QB263Week 4 vs DAL: 23.1 pts, QB54Week 5 vs TEN: 20.9 pts, QB135Week 6: no game6Week 7: no game7Week 8: no game8Week 9: no game9Week 10: no game10Week 11: no game11Week 12: no game12Week 13: no game13Week 14: no game14Week 15: no game15Week 16: no game16Week 17: no game17
WkOppCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsFinish
1BUF26-382742015016.5QB16
2CIN30-553530029017.0QB14
3IND16-271671010011.7QB26
4DAL21-313472012023.1QB5
5TEN26-34261105120.9QB13
2025 game log (13 games)Week 1 vs LA: 9.7 pts, QB261Week 2 vs TB: 15.0 pts, QB232Week 3 vs JAX: 12.4 pts, QB253Week 4 vs TEN: 18.4 pts, QB154Week 5 vs BAL: 28.8 pts, QB15Week 6: no game6Week 7 vs SEA: 14.7 pts, QB157Week 8 vs SF: 22.7 pts, QB118Week 9 vs DEN: 4.4 pts, QB289Week 10: no game10Week 11: no game11Week 12: no game12Week 13 vs IND: 10.0 pts, QB2613Week 14 vs KC: 12.6 pts, QB1814Week 15 vs ARI: 23.4 pts, QB815Week 16 vs LV: 11.5 pts, QB2416Week 17 vs LAC: 15.8 pts, QB1717
WkOppCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsFinish
1LA19-27188013209.7QB26
2TB13-242071027015.0QB23
3JAX25-382041222012.4QB25
4TEN22-282332011018.4QB15
5BAL23-272444030028.8QB1
7SEA23-492291125014.7QB15
8SF30-393182130022.7QB11
9DEN6-1079001204.4QB28
13IND22-35276010010.0QB26
14KC15-31203105012.6QB18
15ARI22-292603010023.4QB8
16LV23-35187100011.5QB24
17LAC16-28244220015.8QB17