C.J. Stroud

QBHOUBye 8

QB24Maniacs rank, #151 overall
149.2ADP, pick 13.05
16.7'26 PPG, 2 games
0 of 2'26 spike weeks
14.7'25 PPG, QB21 finish
7.2%of Underdog teams

Stat Maniac

Through Week 2 of 2026, C.J. Stroud is averaging 16.7 half-PPR points per game on 20.7 xFP (74th percentile among QBs), 4.0 points per game below expectation, the kind of gap that tends to close. Stroud is posting -0.05 EPA per dropback (32nd percentile) and a CPOE of -3.7 (20th). The closest statistical comp since 2012 is Andy Dalton's 2019 season (87% match): QB25 that year, then QB31 the next.

2026 season, through Week 2, 2 games, QB15 in total points. Percentiles against the top 36 QBs by points with 2+ games (the minimum rises to 4 by Week 4).

  1. Points per game5616.7
  2. xFP per game7420.7
  3. Points over expected11-4.0
  4. Spike-week rate210%
  5. Ceiling week3517.0
  6. Floor week6816.6
  7. Boom rate330%
  8. Bust rate740%
  9. EPA per dropback32-0.05
  10. CPOE20-3.7
  11. Rush yards per game6522.0
  12. Pass attempts per game9846.5

Closest seasons since 2012

  1. 87%2019 Andy Dalton: QB25 that season (16.7 PPG), QB31 the next year (13.1 PPG).
  2. 86%2016 Joe Flacco: QB19 that season (16.1 PPG), QB24 the next year (12.4 PPG).
  3. 84%2014 Nick Foles: QB29 that season (16.2 PPG), QB33 the next year (9.6 PPG).

PoorAverageElite Half PPR, Weeks 1-17. Comps match percentile profiles across 2012-2025 at the position. xFP is expected points on the same touches; how it works.

Season lines

Half PPR, Weeks 1-17
SeasonGCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsPPGSpike wksFinish
202513259-40028721882040191.314.73QB21
2026256-936272044033.516.70QB14
2026Maniacs proj-------252.514.9--

A spike week is a top-12 QB finish that week, the weeks that win best ball. Finish is the season rank by half-PPR points among all QBs.

Game log

Full color = top-12 week

2026 season

Week 1 vs BUF: 16.5 pts, QB161Week 2 vs CIN: 17.0 pts, QB132Week 3: no game3Week 4: no game4Week 5: no game5Week 6: no game6Week 7: no game7Week 8: no game8Week 9: no game9Week 10: no game10Week 11: no game11Week 12: no game12Week 13: no game13Week 14: no game14Week 15: no game15Week 16: no game16Week 17: no game17
WkOppCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsFinish
1BUF26-382742015016.5QB16
2CIN30-553530029017.0QB13
2025 game log (13 games)Week 1 vs LA: 8.7 pts, QB261Week 2 vs TB: 15.0 pts, QB222Week 3 vs JAX: 10.4 pts, QB273Week 4 vs TEN: 18.4 pts, QB144Week 5 vs BAL: 28.8 pts, QB15Week 6: no game6Week 7 vs SEA: 13.7 pts, QB157Week 8 vs SF: 21.7 pts, QB118Week 9 vs DEN: 4.4 pts, QB289Week 10: no game10Week 11: no game11Week 12: no game12Week 13 vs IND: 9.0 pts, QB2613Week 14 vs KC: 12.6 pts, QB1714Week 15 vs ARI: 23.4 pts, QB815Week 16 vs LV: 11.5 pts, QB2216Week 17 vs LAC: 13.8 pts, QB1817
WkOppCmp-AttPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TDPtsFinish
1LA19-27188013208.7QB26
2TB13-242071027015.0QB22
3JAX25-382041222010.4QB27
4TEN22-282332011018.4QB14
5BAL23-272444030028.8QB1
7SEA23-492291125013.7QB15
8SF30-393182130021.7QB11
9DEN6-1079001204.4QB28
13IND22-3527601009.0QB26
14KC15-31203105012.6QB17
15ARI22-292603010023.4QB8
16LV23-35187100011.5QB22
17LAC16-28244220013.8QB18